Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 1.005165e-04 0.000119 0.000138 0.000160 0.000184 0.000209 0.000237
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 7.259456e-05 0.000098 0.000127 0.000163 0.000203 0.000248 0.000300
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 5.511457e-05 0.000083 0.000118 0.000160 0.000212 0.000271 0.000341
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 4.126761e-05 0.000070 0.000107 0.000156 0.000216 0.000286 0.000373
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 3.203787e-05 0.000061 0.000100 0.000154 0.000222 0.000303 0.000405
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.452883e-05 0.000053 0.000093 0.000151 0.000226 0.000317 0.000434
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.123244e-05 0.000050 0.000094 0.000157 0.000241 0.000345 0.000478
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.566328e-05 0.000043 0.000086 0.000152 0.000241 0.000353 0.000500
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.287201e-05 0.000040 0.000085 0.000154 0.000251 0.000374 0.000536
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 9.513928e-06 0.000035 0.000080 0.000151 0.000253 0.000385 0.000559
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 6.821867e-06 0.000030 0.000074 0.000148 0.000255 0.000394 0.000581
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 4.126784e-06 0.000024 0.000067 0.000140 0.000249 0.000393 0.000590
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.237820e-06 0.000020 0.000062 0.000137 0.000254 0.000411 0.000627
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.191007e-06 0.000017 0.000059 0.000140 0.000266 0.000439 0.000679
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.297492e-07 0.000014 0.000055 0.000138 0.000271 0.000458 0.000719
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 6.063542e-08 0.000010 0.000049 0.000133 0.000273 0.000470 0.000751
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.837859e-11 0.000008 0.000046 0.000132 0.000278 0.000488 0.000789
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000006 0.000042 0.000129 0.000281 0.000503 0.000824
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000006 0.000043 0.000134 0.000297 0.000537 0.000885
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000004 0.000038 0.000130 0.000297 0.000546 0.000913
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000003 0.000037 0.000132 0.000308 0.000572 0.000963
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000002 0.000034 0.000129 0.000310 0.000586 0.000995
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000001 0.000031 0.000126 0.000312 0.000598 0.001026